Semiconductor majors' dollar sales for shareholder returns and exporters' dollar sales combine to push the won-dollar rate down sharply by 250 won in two months (hovering around 1,340 won), with aviation and steel benefiting while automakers and semiconductor exporters face headwinds amid divergent sectoral impacts.
Within the week, the forex domain maintained around 200 from Tuesday to Friday before falling to 125 on Monday (weekend adjustment), yet news mentions surged back to the top (300 articles). Citigroup and Nomura's downward target price guidance intensifies debate.
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Why it matters
The existing 'foreign investor sell Korea' debate has shifted to the concrete issue of a sharp fall in USD/KRW. News reports mention Citigroup's target-price cuts and competing expectations of USD/KRW reaching 1,300 versus rebounding in Q4 (news-led).
What would change it
There is also a view that the sharp fall in USD/KRW reflects a structural surplus of dollar supply and that the exchange rate will rebound in Q4.
Korea exposure
Observed evidence · 6 research notes · 300 news mentions
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