Despite SanDisk-driven cracks and big tech CapEx concerns causing near-term setbacks, semiconductors have entered a long cycle driven by HBM momentum and accelerating universal memory CapEx, with Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix leading the Kospi rebound to 7,000.
Maintained as top proposition throughout 7-day window; Mon-Fri Samsung Electronics·SK Hynix issuance volume 200 saturation·domain 90-105 stable. Today reinforced optimism with 'Daishin Securities: cycle not over', 'Micron universal DRAM margin 95%' etc.
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Why it matters
Multiple reports from Mirae Asset 'good news ringing from all sides'·Daishin 'not over' + high-interest news. Established dominant consensus narrative.
What would change it
If AI investment contracts due to US 10-year treasury near 5%·increased big tech funding costs, HBM·server DRAM demand could break.
Korea exposure
Observed evidence · 6 research notes · 200 news mentions
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